Tony Finn takes a look at some key playoff trends from this Saturday and Sunday's National Football League divisional round of contests.
SATURDAY, 01/14/2012
(109) NEW ORLEANS vs. (110) SAN FRANCISCO (+3.5, 47)
Lean: SAN FRANCISCO on the money line.
Backing home teams (San Fran) that have outscoring opponents by 5-plus points per game in the first half coming off a game where 60 total points or more were scored has been an amazing cash cow on over the last 10 NFL campaigns. The trend is 40-4 (91%) over that time frame and is a perfect 6-0 this season.
(111) DENVER vs. (112) NEW ENGLAND (-13.5, 50)
Lean: NEW ENGLAND on the money line.
Backing home favorites (New England) with a turnover margin of +1 per game or better on the season coming off a game where they forced 3 or more turnovers has been a 95% proposition on the money line. The trend is 35-2 over the last five NFL campaigns and is a perfect 6-0 this season.
SUNDAY, 01/15/2012
(113) HOUSTON vs. (114) BALTIMORE (-9, 36)
Lean: HOUSTON on the money line.
Backing any team (Houston) coming off a game where they rushed for 175 yards or more and averages 150 yards per game rushing on the season against an average rush defense, one that allows between 95-125 yards per game on the season, this in the second half of the season (+8 games) has been a 82% proposition over the last 10 NFL campaigns. The trend is 32-7 over that time span and is 4-1 this season.
(115) NY GIANTS vs. (116) GREEN BAY (-7.5, 52.5)
Lean: GREEN BAY on the money line.
Backing home favorites (Green Bay) with a turnover margin of +1 per game or better on the season coming off a game where they forced 3 or more turnovers has been a 95% proposition on the money line. The trend is 35-2 over the last five NFL campaigns and is a perfect 6-0 this season.
SATURDAY, 01/14/2012
(109) NEW ORLEANS vs. (110) SAN FRANCISCO (+3.5, 47)
Lean: SAN FRANCISCO on the money line.
Backing home teams (San Fran) that have outscoring opponents by 5-plus points per game in the first half coming off a game where 60 total points or more were scored has been an amazing cash cow on over the last 10 NFL campaigns. The trend is 40-4 (91%) over that time frame and is a perfect 6-0 this season.
(111) DENVER vs. (112) NEW ENGLAND (-13.5, 50)
Lean: NEW ENGLAND on the money line.
Backing home favorites (New England) with a turnover margin of +1 per game or better on the season coming off a game where they forced 3 or more turnovers has been a 95% proposition on the money line. The trend is 35-2 over the last five NFL campaigns and is a perfect 6-0 this season.
SUNDAY, 01/15/2012
(113) HOUSTON vs. (114) BALTIMORE (-9, 36)
Lean: HOUSTON on the money line.
Backing any team (Houston) coming off a game where they rushed for 175 yards or more and averages 150 yards per game rushing on the season against an average rush defense, one that allows between 95-125 yards per game on the season, this in the second half of the season (+8 games) has been a 82% proposition over the last 10 NFL campaigns. The trend is 32-7 over that time span and is 4-1 this season.
(115) NY GIANTS vs. (116) GREEN BAY (-7.5, 52.5)
Lean: GREEN BAY on the money line.
Backing home favorites (Green Bay) with a turnover margin of +1 per game or better on the season coming off a game where they forced 3 or more turnovers has been a 95% proposition on the money line. The trend is 35-2 over the last five NFL campaigns and is a perfect 6-0 this season.
